Electrical energy consumption forecasting for Turkey using grey forecasting technics with rolling mechanism
Yükleniyor...
Tarih
2015
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
IEEE
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
The accuracy of electricity energy consumption prediction is an important issue effecting energy investment decisions as well as environmental policies. Although there are several forecasting techniques, selection of the most accurate technique is vital for energy planners. In this study, grey forecasting techniques with rolling mechanism (RM) have been used for modeling and predicting yearly net electrical energy consumption in Turkey. Three different grey models are generated to find the best model. The best grey model with RM is used for energy consumption forecasting from 2014 to 2030. Furthermore, the effect of RM is studied by comparing the obtained results with a Grey Model without RM. Results show nonhomogeneous Grey Model with RM improves forecasting accuracy.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Grey Forecasting, Rolling Mechanism, Electricity Energy Consumption
Kaynak
2nd International Conference on Knowledge-Based Engineering and Innovation (KBEI)
WoS Q Değeri
N/A
Scopus Q Değeri
N/A
