Simulations of Technology-induced and Crisis-led Stochastic and Chaotic Fluctuations in Higher Education Processes: A Model and a Case Study for Performance and Expected Employment

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dc.contributor.authorKara, Ahmet
dc.date.accessioned2020-11-21T15:55:14Z
dc.date.available2020-11-21T15:55:14Z
dc.date.issued2015en_US
dc.departmentİstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesien_US
dc.description.abstractThis paper presents a simple model of the provision of higher educational services that considers and exemplifies nonlinear, stochastic, and potentially chaotic processes. I use the methods of system dynamics to simulate these processes in the context of a particular sociologically interesting case, namely that of the Turkish higher education sector during the recent global economic crisis. I undertake simulations for two variables, namely for the quality-adjusted performance and the technology-induced expected employment. Simulations for the quality-adjusted performance display stochastic fluctuations around a modestly rising deterministic trend. Chaotic performance trajectories are shown to be possible for certain parameter values; however, given the historical experience and observed current tendencies in higher education in Turkey, they appear to be highly unlikely. Simulations for expected employment indicate that increases in the levels of technology utilization in education could lead to improved perceptions of employment prospects and potentially help to increase the level of employment in the economyen_US
dc.identifier.endpage312en_US
dc.identifier.issn1303-0485
dc.identifier.issn2148-7561
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-84929898171en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/Aen_US
dc.identifier.startpage303en_US
dc.identifier.trdizinid193411en_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://app.trdizin.gov.tr/makale/TVRrek5ERXhNUT09
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11467/3967
dc.identifier.volume15en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:000354604700001en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityQ4en_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakTR-Dizinen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.relation.ispartofKuram ve Uygulamada Eğitim Bilimlerien_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectEğitimen_US
dc.subjectEğitim Araştırmalarıen_US
dc.titleSimulations of Technology-induced and Crisis-led Stochastic and Chaotic Fluctuations in Higher Education Processes: A Model and a Case Study for Performance and Expected Employmenten_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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