Chaos, Fractionality, Nonlinear Contagion, and Causality Dynamics of the Metaverse, Energy Consumption, and Environmental Pollution: Markov-Switching Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Copula and Causality Methods

dc.authorid0000-0003-3925-844Xen_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-9177-2780en_US
dc.authorid0000-0002-2410-765Xen_US
dc.contributor.authorBildirici, Melike
dc.contributor.authorErsin, Özgür Ömer
dc.contributor.authorIbrahim, Blend
dc.date.accessioned2024-03-06T14:03:41Z
dc.date.available2024-03-06T14:03:41Z
dc.date.issued2024en_US
dc.departmentFakülteler, İşletme Fakültesi, İngilizce İşletme Bölümüen_US
dc.description.abstractMetaverse (MV) technology introduces new tools for users each day. MV companies have a significant share in the total stock markets today, and their size is increasing. However, MV technologies are questioned as to whether they contribute to environmental pollution with their increasing energy consumption (EC). This study explores complex nonlinear contagion with tail dependence and causality between MV stocks, EC, and environmental pollution proxied with carbon dioxide emissions (CO2 ) with a decade-long daily dataset covering 18 May 2012–16 March 2023. The Mandelbrot–Wallis and Lo’s rescaled range (R/S) tests confirm long-term dependence and fractionality, and the largest Lyapunov exponents, Shannon and Havrda, Charvât, and Tsallis (HCT) entropy tests followed by the Kolmogorov–Sinai (KS) complexity measure confirm chaos, entropy, and complexity. The Brock, Dechert, and Scheinkman (BDS) test of independence test confirms nonlinearity, and White‘s test of heteroskedasticity of nonlinear forms and Engle’s autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity test confirm heteroskedasticity, in addition to fractionality and chaos. In modeling, the marginal distributions are modeled with Markov-Switching Generalized Autore gressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Copula (MS-GARCH–Copula) processes with two regimes for low and high volatility and asymmetric tail dependence between MV, EC, and CO2 in all regimes. The findings indicate relatively higher contagion with larger copula parameters in high-volatility regimes. Nonlinear causality is modeled under regime-switching heteroskedasticity, and the results indicate unidirectional causality from MV to EC, from MV to CO2, and from EC to CO2 , in addition to bidirectional causality among MV and EC, which amplifies the effects on air pollution. The findings of this paper offer vital insights into the MV, EC, and CO2 nexus under chaos, fractionality, and nonlinearity. Important policy recommendations are generated.en_US
dc.identifier.doi10.3390/fractalfract8020114en_US
dc.identifier.issue2en_US
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-85185907178en_US
dc.identifier.scopusqualityN/Aen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://hdl.handle.net/11467/7161
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.3390/fractalfract8020114
dc.identifier.volume8en_US
dc.identifier.wosWOS:001169937600001en_US
dc.identifier.wosqualityN/Aen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakWeb of Scienceen_US
dc.indekslendigikaynakScopusen_US
dc.language.isoenen_US
dc.publisherMDPIen_US
dc.relation.ispartofFractal and Fractionalen_US
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi - Kurum Öğretim Elemanıen_US
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccessen_US
dc.subjectchaos; entropy; fractionality; complexity; long-term dependence; metaverse; energy; environmental pollution; contagion; copula; Markov processes; GARCH; causality; tail inferenceen_US
dc.titleChaos, Fractionality, Nonlinear Contagion, and Causality Dynamics of the Metaverse, Energy Consumption, and Environmental Pollution: Markov-Switching Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity Copula and Causality Methodsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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