Consumer confidence and economic activity: a factor augmented VAR approach
Küçük Resim Yok
Tarih
2016
Yazarlar
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Routledge
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
Özet
This study aims to analyse the effects of the consumer confidence on economic activity for the US market. We use the empirical factor-augmented vector autoregression (FAVAR) method, which enables us to incorporate a wide range of economic activity factors into the analysis. The consumer confidence index (CCI) is chosen as the principal variable that is presumed to represent the degree of optimism on the state of economic activity. The results show that consumer confidence and economic activity are strongly correlated for manufacturing-related factors, such as industrial production and inventories. We also observe strong relation among CCI and personal consumption expenditures, as well as housing market variables. © 2016 Taylor & Francis.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Consumer confidence index, economic activity, factor-augmented vector autoregressive model, psychological factors
Kaynak
Applied Economics
WoS Q Değeri
Q3
Scopus Q Değeri
Q2
Cilt
48
Sayı
32
