Investigating the effect of energy price on food price inflation in three Asian countries
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Dosyalar
Tarih
2023
Dergi Başlığı
Dergi ISSN
Cilt Başlığı
Yayıncı
Istanbul Commerce University
Erişim Hakkı
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess
Özet
The rising of energy prices resulting from the turmoil in the Middle East may be responsible for the recent food price inflation in the world, which may occur through transmission mechanism. This study investigates the effect of energy prices on food price inflation in three Asian countries, namely, China, Philippine, and Vietnam using monthly data from 2002:M01 to 2020:M12. Employing the Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) model with Impulse Response Functions (IRFs), the results provided that shocks in energy prices and economic growth have a positive and significant effect on food price inflation while shocks in exchange rate and agricultural production have a negative but insignificant effect on food prices inflation. The PVAR causality results revealed that economic growth is a predictor of food price inflation, energy prices, exchange rate, and agricultural production. Also, a causality runs from economic growth and exchange rate to energy prices and again, from economic growth to exchange rate and agricultural production. This implies that a feedback effect is found between economic growth and exchange rate as well as economic growth and agricultural production. Therefore, the study recommended the need to stabilize energy prices through effect energy policies in Asian countries.
Açıklama
Anahtar Kelimeler
Food prices inflation, Energy prices, Food insecurity, Economic growth
Kaynak
International Journal of Commerce and Finance
WoS Q Değeri
Scopus Q Değeri
Cilt
9
Sayı
1
