An analysis of macroeconomic variables affecting real sector confidence index: the case of Turkey

Yükleniyor...
Küçük Resim

Tarih

2017

Dergi Başlığı

Dergi ISSN

Cilt Başlığı

Yayıncı

İstanbul Ticaret Üniversitesi

Erişim Hakkı

info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess

Özet

Traditional finance theories are not sufficient to explain investor’s sentiment and psychology. This situation leads to emergence of Behavioral Finance. The aim of this paper is to analyze the macroeconomic factors affecting Real Sector Confidence Index (RSCI) of Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT). Within this scope, monthly data for the period between 2007:01 and 2017:03 is analyzed by using Johansen Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test. According to the results of the analysis, CBRT Composite Leading Indicators Index, Capacity Utilization Rate of Manufacturing Industry (CURMI), Turkish Lira Reference Interest Rate (TRLIBOR) and BIST100 Return Index affect RSCI.

Açıklama

Anahtar Kelimeler

Behavioral Finance, Real Sector Confidence Index, Johansen Cointegration Test, Granger Causality Test

Kaynak

International Journal of Commerce and Finance

WoS Q Değeri

Scopus Q Değeri

Cilt

3

Sayı

2

Künye